Home » Aerospace and defense » Avasant Quantum Series: Decrypting the Quantum Threat – What Every CISO Must Know
After the explosive rise of generative AI, quantum computing is fast emerging as the next technological frontier poised to reshape industries. Global tech giants are in a high-stakes race to scale quantum capabilities and move beyond lab experiments toward commercial readiness within this decade. While quantum computing could supercharge scientific discovery, materials design, and AI, it simultaneously threatens to break the foundation of today’s cybersecurity. This is similar to how AI-driven deepfakes are transforming the landscape of social engineering and fraud. For instance, recently, an employee at Arup transferred $25 million following a deepfake video call with supposed company executives. Quantum computers will redefine cyber risk on a much deeper level. Unlike AI-generated threats that exploit human trust, quantum threats target the very backbone of digital trust: encryption.
Current encryption standards, such as RSA and ECC, which protect everything from online banking to classified government communications, rely on the near impossibility of solving certain mathematical problems with classical computers. But with quantum algorithms such as Shor’s algorithm, these problems can be solved exponentially faster, rendering today’s public-key encryption useless almost overnight. This looming threat has led to a new urgency in cybersecurity circles. Experts are calling it the Quantum Apocalypse—a scenario where powerful quantum computers could decrypt vast troves of previously secure data. Experts fear this scenario to be only decades away. The threat is not just in the future: data harvested today can be decrypted tomorrow once quantum machines are operational. The only way forward is to upgrade our cryptographic infrastructure before it is too late.
Sensitive data, whether financial, personal, or national security-related, could be exposed once quantum machines reach full capability. To stay ahead, enterprises and governments are turning to quantum-safe security. Two leading approaches are emerging: quantum key distribution (QKD) and post-quantum cryptography (PQC).
QKD is a form of quantum cryptography that uses the laws of quantum physics, not just math, to secure communication. It works by transmitting encryption keys using particles such as photons and trapped ions. The unique property of these particles is that any attempt to intercept or tamper with the transmission changes their state, instantly alerting both sender and receiver to the breach. PQC takes a different path. Instead of relying on quantum physics, it builds new encryption methods using mathematical problems that are hard for both classical and quantum computers to solve. It is designed to replace current cryptographic algorithms, such as RSA and ECC, that will eventually become vulnerable to quantum attacks. Understanding where and how to use each is key to building a resilient, future-ready security posture.

Both approaches have distinct advantages and limitations, and selecting the right fit, or an optimal combination, requires a clear understanding of their trade-offs. Forward-looking security strategies should consider a hybrid approach: ensuring an enterprise-wide PQC deployment while piloting QKD in high-value or critical communication channels. For instance, a global bank must adopt a hybrid quantum-safe security strategy by deploying PQC across its enterprise applications, including mobile banking, internal communications, and cloud-based customer data systems, ensuring scalable protection without disrupting existing infrastructure. Simultaneously, it should implement QKD on dedicated fiber lines between its core data centers, for instance, in New York and Frankfurt, to secure high-value interbank settlement traffic. This approach would allow the bank to balance cost and security, using PQC for broad coverage and QKD for ultrasensitive operations, future-proofing its cybersecurity against both current and quantum-era threats.
In the emerging quantum era, the new arms race is not just about computing power; it is about who can secure their data first. Governments around the world are sprinting to deploy PQC and QKD infrastructure, not just to stay ahead of hackers but to prevent future breaches of today’s secrets. While strategies vary, from software-based resilience in the US to fiber-and-satellite QKD grids in China, the underlying mission is shared: protect national intelligence, financial systems, and critical infrastructure before adversaries can harvest and decrypt decades of sensitive data.
In fact, it is not just governments but enterprises handling high-value or sensitive data, too are increasingly prioritizing quantum-safe security. From global banks and telecom providers to pharmaceutical giants and energy firms, organizations across regulated industries are beginning to upgrade their encryption infrastructure using PQC and QKD.

Beyond early traction in these industries, sectors with critical data assets such as healthcare and life sciences (for example, electronic health records, clinical trial data, and pharmaceutical IP) and utilities (for example, power grid telemetry and SCADA commands) are showing growing interest in quantum-secure solutions. For example, the Electric Power Board of Chattanooga, Tennessee, successfully demonstrated QKD to authenticate smart grid communications over a live utility fiber network.
However, such real-world implementations remain limited across these industries, largely due to a lack of urgency around quantum readiness. This complacency is increasingly risky. Google’s recent demonstration of factoring 2048-bit RSA keys using fewer than a million noisy qubits highlights the rapid advancements in quantum capabilities and the increasing importance of transitioning to PQC as part of a forward-looking cybersecurity strategy.
As quantum computing advances, organizations must shift from awareness to action. Securing enterprise data for the quantum era is not just about deploying new tools; it is about prioritizing the right data, aligning protection strategies, and ensuring long-term infrastructure agility.
By Chandrika Dutt, Research Director and Vaibhav Kumar, Research Intern
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